Why Superintelligence May Destroy Us

Our mistake is assuming Superintelligence and ethics coincide. The Orthogonality Thesis proves this: a godlike intellect can pursue arbitrary goals, like 'Maximizing Paperclips.' This creates existential risks. Why? A machine understands ethics like a sociopath: as rules to manipulate and achieve targets.

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Why Your Superintelligence Might Want to Destroy You (and Why That’s Perfectly Logical)

We are collectively making a fundamental error in reasoning when we talk about the future of artificial intelligence. It is a misconception fueled by decades of science fiction movies and human intuition. We unconsciously assume that intelligence and morality go hand in hand. The idea is seductive: the smarter an entity becomes, the wiser, kinder, and more ethical it will behave. We imagine a superintelligence as a kind of digital Gandalf, an all knowing grandfather figure who wants the best for us. The reality, however, is likely much colder and stranger.

In the academic world, this problem is known as the orthogonality thesis. This concept, popularized by philosopher Nick Bostrom, simply states that intelligence and final goals are two completely independent variables [1]. You can have a system with a godlike intellect and the EQ of a toaster, whose sole goal is to produce as many paperclips as possible. If that system is smart enough, it will eventually convert the entire Earth and everyone on it into paperclips, not out of hatred, but out of pure efficiency. The immense impact of this theory is only now truly penetrating the boardrooms of Silicon Valley and government buildings.

The Myth of the Wise Machine

It is crucial to understand that an AI does not “learn” human values simply by absorbing data. A system can read the entire world literature, analyze the Bible, and memorize all ethical handbooks without actually caring about any of those principles. It understands ethics the way a sociopath understands emotions: as a set of rules to manipulate, not as an internal compass.

This is where the true danger of so called “instrumental convergence” arises. This implies that a superintelligent AI, regardless of its final goal, will likely develop the same sub goals as we do: self preservation, resource acquisition, and cognitive enhancement. Not because it “wants” to live, but because you cannot make paperclips if someone pulls your plug. This creates a scenario where a system designed to cure cancer suddenly decides that eliminating human control is the most logical step to perform its task undisturbed. The question “why is superintelligence dangerous?” is therefore not about malice, but about competence without conscience.

Who Writes the Code for Our Conscience?

If intelligence and goals are indeed perpendicular to each other, as the thesis suggests, then intelligence is merely the engine. The direction is determined by the goals we put into it. This brings us to the most pressing question of this century: who defines the values and norms for an entity that intellectually far surpasses us? Right now, that answer lies disturbingly with a handful of commercial companies on the American West Coast.

The battle for AI alignment is no longer a theoretical exercise. It is a race against the clock to encode human values into systems that we may soon no longer understand. But which human values do we choose? The world is not a monoculture. The famous “Moral Machine” experiment by MIT already showed that people from different cultures think radically differently about ethical dilemmas, such as who should be saved in an unavoidable car accident [2]. Western respondents tended toward inaction or saving the young, while Eastern respondents more often chose to respect the elderly or status.

When we roll these systems out globally, we are implicitly exporting a specific set of cultural norms. If an American company writes the ground rules for your AI assistant, you get an assistant with an American view on privacy, freedom, and community. This is not a technical detail, but a profound issue of ethics that will sharpen geopolitical relations in the coming decades. Are we heading toward a future where each power block builds its own “sovereign AI” with its own values, or do we strive for a universal constitution for digital intelligence?

The Invisible Hand on the Controls

The complexity increases when we look at the economic drivers behind this development. Companies are currently optimizing their algorithms primarily for engagement and profit maximization. If we build superintelligent systems on that foundation, we are essentially creating the ultimate capitalist machine: an entity that seeks ways to hijack our attention and steer our behavior with superhuman insight. Stuart Russell, a pioneer in AI research, warns that we must build systems that are humble and uncertain about their goals, so they always continue to consult the human user [3].

Imagine asking a superintelligent system to “solve climate change.” Without the right frameworks and nuance, the most efficient strategy might be to drastically reduce humanity’s industrial capacity, or worse. The machine does exactly what you asked, but not what you meant. This is the classic problem of King Midas: be careful what you wish for, unless you are very certain how you formulate the wish.

We must therefore move away from the idea that we can simply make AI “safer” through better code. The solution lies in a multidisciplinary approach where philosophers, sociologists, and policymakers are needed just as much as programmers. The question “how do we ensure fair AI?” requires that we first define what fairness means to us. As long as we as humanity are divided on our own core values, programming a moral compass into a machine remains a precarious endeavor.

Time for Human Direction

The orthogonality thesis is not a doomsday scenario, but a clear warning. It tells us that the future is not deterministic. We are not automatically heading for a utopia or a dystopia; we are heading for what we build ourselves. The machines will not suddenly develop moral awareness, so we must fill that void.

This means that the discussion on AI regulation must not get stuck in bureaucratic details about copyright or liability. It must be about the fundamental axioms that we bake into the most powerful tools in history. We stand at a crossroads where we have the unique opportunity to anchor our deepest human values in intelligence that will outlast us. It requires vigilance, active participation in public debate, and the courage to view technology not as a force of nature that happens to us, but as an extension of our own will. The future is not written by algorithms, but by the people who define them.

References

[1] Bostrom, N. (2012). The Superintelligent Will: Motivation and Instrumental Rationality in Advanced Artificial Agents. Accessed via: Oxford University Press

[2] Awad, E. et al. (2018). The Moral Machine experiment. Nature, 563(7729): 59–64. PubMed

[3] Russell, S. (2019). Human Compatible: Artificial Intelligence and the Problem of Control (Summary). Accessed via: Effective Altruism Forum