About This Data
This page ranks every live capital by how fast its own weather is shifting. Each capital gets the same full 50-year trend regression already used on Meteo Future Trends, turned into a plain change per decade, then ranked against every other capital's. A capital near the top of a list isn't guessing at the future, it's the one whose own real, measured record already shows the steepest change so far.
Why a ranking, not just a number
A single capital's trend line is hard to judge in isolation: is +0.3°C per decade a lot? Ranking it against 195 other capitals' own trends answers that directly. The percentile shown next to every variable is that capital's position in the field, from 0 (least change) to 100 (most change), built from the exact same regression output Meteo Future Trends already shows for that capital.
How the Climate Shift score is built
Temperature, tropical days and frost days combine into one composite score, since a hotter average, more days above 30°C and fewer days below 0°C all point the same way: more warming. Precipitation, sunshine hours and wind speed are ranked too, but kept out of the composite and labeled as volatility rather than "worse", the same principle Meteo Future Trends already applies: more or less rain, sun or wind has no honest worse direction. Every raw decade-change number and percentile is shown next to the score, so nothing about how a capital ranks is hidden behind a single opaque figure.
What's ranked
Six variables per capital: annual average temperature, tropical days above 30°C, frost days below 0°C, total annual precipitation, total annual sunshine hours, and average wind speed, each expressed as a change per decade. The first five are the same variables Meteo Future Trends projects forward for each capital individually, carried one step further into a side-by-side comparison. Wind speed is unique to this ranking.
